तीन बच्चों वाले परिवार में, तीसरी संतान के लड़की होने की क्या प्रायिकता है, जबकि अन्य दो भी लड़कियां हैं?

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SSC CGL Tier-II ( JSO ) 2017 Official Paper ( Held On : 22 Feb 2018 )
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  1. 1/3
  2. 2/3
  3. 1/4
  4. 1/6

Answer (Detailed Solution Below)

Option 3 : 1/4
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सूत्र

प्रायिकता = अनुकूल परिणाम/कुल परिणाम

गणना

तीन बच्चों वाला परिवार = G, G, G जहाँ G = लड़कियां

हम लड़की को 3C1 = \(\frac{3 !}{1! (3-1)!}\)  के रूप के चुन सकते हैं 

⇒ 3C1 = \(\frac{3 !}{1! (3-1)!}\) = 3

लड़की के चयन के संभावित तरीकों की संख्या \(\frac{^3 C _1}{2!}\) है 

⇒ संभावित परिणाम = \(\frac 32\)

लड़की के चयन के कुल तरीकों की संख्या =3! = 3 × 2

⇒ कुल परिणाम = 6

प्रायिकता = अनुकूल परिणाम/कुल परिणाम

⇒ प्रायिकता = \(\frac{3/2}{6}=\frac{3}{ 2 \times 6} = \frac 14\)

∴ तीसरी संतान के लड़की होने की प्रायिकता 1/4 है, जबकि अन्य दो भी लड़कियां हैं। 

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